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Age of History 3
Rodak Polak

Probability of death of the ruler/advisor depending on age

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Badanie opublikowane przez stronę internetową pod patronatem polskiego rządu przeprowadzone w 1950 (z tego co rozumiem - nie czytałem, jedynie popatrzyłem na tabelę). Rok 1950 był po 2 wojnie światowej, po której Polska była zrujnowana, a społeczeństwo wymęczone wojną może dobrze odzwierciedlać prawdopodobieństwo śmierci w zależności od wieku wśród średniowiecznych władców:

  • 1 rok - 2,5 %
  • 5 lat - 0,8%
  • 10 lat - 0,6%
  • 15 lat - 1%
  • 20 lat - 1,8%
  • 25 lat - 1,7%
  • 30 lat - 2%
  • 35 lat - 2,3%
  • 40 lat - 3%
  • 45 lat - 4,5%
  • 50 lat - 6,6%
  • 55 lat - 10%
  • 60 lat - 15%
  • 65 lat - 20%
  • 70 lat - 30%
  • 75 lat - 42%
  • 80 lat - 55%

It can be seen here that the probability of death decreases up to the age of five, remains constant until the age of 10, increases slightly but steadily from the age of 10 to the age of 40, and increases dramatically after the age of 40.

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3 horas atrás, Łukasz Jakowski disse:

Już jest tak zrobione😛

As I perused this text, my thoughts turned to a growth report of your nation, encompassing aspects such as the Human Development Index (HDI), economy, poverty, wealth, and the likelihood of survival. Should a country conclude a year with, for instance, a figure of 57.9, an advisor might pass away at 60 (a three-year discrepancy due to their elite status), whereas in a nation boasting an 82.3 and an HDI of 0.819, the populace would experience a delayed mortality. The same fate would befall the advisors and leaders. This is a vision for the future, which you will likely not bring to fruition

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9 hours ago, Łukasz Jakowski said:

Już jest tak zrobione 😛

A w pewnym momencie prawdopodobieństwo sięga 100% czy tak jak w EU4 przy niesamowitym szczęściu Władca może dożyć 300 lat?  

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